NBA Draft
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2025 NBA Draft Big Board
Player comps are now generated using a model that finds the past draft pick with the most similar overall profile. The complete list of this year’s draft model projections and comps can be seen here. – – – – – – – RK PLAYER POS HT TEAM PLAYER COMP 1 Cooper Flagg PF 6-9 DUKE Paolo…
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Studying Abroad 2025
My yearly roundup of international draft prospects looks at the class from a statistical point of view using my DMX draft model. For background on the model and the xVORP metric, I wrote this explainer article. – – – – – – – Noa EssengueHT: 6’8″POS: SF/PFxVORP: .644 French forward Noa Essengue has emerged as the…
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2025 Draft Model All-Americans
The draft model All-American team is comprised of the highest-rated NCAA players at each position according to my DMX model that are not currently listed on the mock drafts or overall rankings at ESPN or NBADraft.net GUARDS Josiah Lake II / PG / Oregon StateHT: 6’2″xVORP: .298 Josiah Lake was super efficient in a reserve role as a freshman…
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DMX 2.0: A New and Improved NBA Draft Model
It’s been about eight and a half years since I made my first attempt at creating a statistical model for the NBA draft. Over the years the model has seen a number of changes and improvements, so in reality this is something like DMX 10.0. This new version represents a major overhaul which I thought…
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2024 NBA Draft Big Board
Player comps are based on per 40 minute stats, position, height, and overall draft model grade (+ or – indicates a player who projects a standard deviation better or worse than their closest comparison). This year’s complete draft model results can be seen here. – – – – – – – RK PLAYER POS HT TEAM…
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Studying Abroad 2024
My yearly roundup of international draft prospects looks at the class from a statistical point of view using my DMX draft model. Here are the draft model projections and overall rankings for the international prospects in the latest ESPN mock draft: RK PLAYER POS xWINS 5 Alex Sarr C 3.5 6 Nikola Topic PG 3.5…
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2024 Draft Model All-Americans
The draft model All-American team is comprised of the highest-rated NCAA players at each position according to my DMX model that are not currently listed on 2024 or 2025 mock drafts at ESPN or NBADraft.net GUARDS Tamin Lipsey / PG / Iowa StateHT: 6’1″xWINS: 2.5 Tamin Lipsey was one of the most unheralded freshmen in college basketball last season,…
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2023 NBA Draft Big Board
Player comps are based on per 40 minute stats, position, height, and overall draft model grade (+ or – indicates a player who projects significantly better or worse than their closest comparison). This year’s complete draft model results can be seen here. – – – – – – – RK PLAYER POS HT TEAM PLAYER COMP…
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Studying Abroad 2023
My yearly roundup of international draft prospects looks at the class from a statistical point of view using my DMX draft model. Here are the draft model projections and rankings for the international prospects in the latest ESPN mock draft: RK PLAYER POS HT xWINS 1 Victor Wembanyama C 7-4 5.7 9 James Nnaji C…
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